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pdf April 6, 2021
Review of 2021 ERCOT Long-Term Summer Peak Demand Forecast
Since 2013, ERCOT has historically overpredicted the summer peak by an average of 1.15 GW in their yearly Long-Term Hourly Peak Demand and Energy Forecast report. As an alternative, we present a simple linear benchmark, which has a 31% smaller mean absolute error and 86% lower year-over-year variation. In this report, we will offer a study of ERCOT's methodology and make the case that it does not outperform a simple benchmark.
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pdf September 16, 2020
Attenuation of Large Scale Solar PV Production by Bushfire Smoke in South-East Australia
Australia is no stranger to bushfires, which have been recorded for more than a century with various levels of severity. The fires in the summer of 2019-2020 were especially harsh and damaging, burning more than 180,000 square kilometers of forest and grassland. In this study, Amperon collaborated with the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) to examine the effect smoke plumes from bushfires had on electricity production of large scale photovoltaic solar farms in New South Wales (NSW), Victoria (VIC), the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) and South Australia (SA).
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pdf October 1, 2019
Beyond Third Parties: Promoting innovation through energy data sharing with "nth" parties
An ecosystem of companies in the energy industry enables customers with numerous innovative products and services. When a customer shares his or her private electricity or natural gas data with a certain company, there are often several firms in a “digital supply chain” that acquire and process the data to eventually deliver services to that customer, whether the customer is aware of those entities or not. Referred to as “Nth” parties, these entities represent exciting innovations in the energy sector, but they will be stifled in the absence of thoughtful, targeted policies and customer-centric data exchange mechanisms.